Sport Picks

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Touring KE vs Leioa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Rementeria A. B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Leioa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Touring KE
35%
Draws
32%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leioa come out ahead of Touring KE on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Touring KE taking it.
  • Leioa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leioa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Touring KE Leioa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Touring KE
2:3
May 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Leioa
0:1
Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Leioa
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Touring KE
0:3
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Touring KE
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Touring KE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rementeria A. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Touring KE 59 / 100
Leioa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Touring KE Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Touring KE found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Leioa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Touring KE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Touring KE VS Leioa
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Touring KE

(Home)
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
16 May
Touring KE
0 : 1
Leioa
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Leioa

(Away)
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Leioa 3
Touring KE 3
Derio 2
Lagun Onak 2
Final
Leioa 2
Derio 0