Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toyama vs Imabari

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Toyama Stadium, Toyama
Toyama Logo

Toyama

Sun, Mar 29, 2026
2 - 1
05:00 AM
Imabari Logo

Imabari

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Mori K. In: Kato J.
Out: Mori K.
54'
Kato J.
56'
Sub
Matsuoka D. In: Fuseya S.
Out: Matsuoka D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toyama in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toyama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Toyama
15%
Draws
42%
Imabari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toyama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Toyama have won more games recently than Imabari.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Toyama taking it.
  • Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Toyama Clean Sheet 15%
Imabari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toyama Imabari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League
Imabari vs Toyama
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Toyama vs Imabari
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 J2 League
Toyama vs Imabari
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Toyama
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 J3 League
Toyama vs Imabari
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toyama Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshihira T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Imabari Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayashi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toyama 41 / 100
Imabari 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toyama Imabari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toyama scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Imabari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Imabari registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toyama VS Imabari
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toyama

(Home)
08 Aug
Vanraure
2 : 0
Toyama
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Toyama
30 May
Toyama
1 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
23 May
Nara Club
5 : 1
Toyama
17 May
Toyama
2 : 3
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Imabari

(Away)
09 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 1
Imabari
22 Jul
Vissel Kobe
6 : 1
Imabari
07 Jun
Vanraure
1 : 2
Imabari
31 May
Imabari
1 : 2
Ryukyu
24 May
Tokushima
2 : 1
Imabari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)