Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C Pohjan Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TP-47 play SJK Akatemia 2 in the Kakkonen Group C. TP-47 are favorites here. Recently, TP-47 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. SJK Akatemia 2 averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, TP-47 won 1, SJK Akatemia 2 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for TP-47 and 1.00 for SJK Akatemia 2. This points to a TP-47 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
TP-47
25%
Draws
15%
SJK Akatemia 2
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: TP-47

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • TP-47 picked up more points recently compared to SJK Akatemia 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
TP-47 Clean Sheet 23%
SJK Akatemia 2 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TP-47 SJK Akatemia 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 1
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.07 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.69 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia 2
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia 2
2:6
Jul 1, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia 2
4:3
Apr 26, 2025 Kakkonen Group C
SJK Akatemia 2 vs TP-47
7:1
Sep 22, 2024 Kakkonen Group C
SJK Akatemia 2 vs TP-47
9:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TP-47 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajayi O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alamaki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

SJK Akatemia 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lahti E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TP-47 59 / 100
SJK Akatemia 2 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TP-47 SJK Akatemia 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TP-47 Win (1)
Secondary Pick TP-47 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TP-47 attacking → ← attacking SJK Akatemia 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TP-47 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

SJK Akatemia 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 7.60 goals.

TP-47 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SJK Akatemia 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 31
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jaro 2970222:2021
2Huima / Urho1052328:2017
3TP-471044219:1716
4GBK Kokkola1050521:2015
5Narpes Kraft941426:2113
6VPS 21034325:2013
7JBK1041516:1413
8SJK Akatemia 21041516:2013
9Vaajakoski1031618:2610
10JS Hercules1030715:289