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TPS vs AC Oulu

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion, Turku
TPS Logo

TPS

3 - 0
FT
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Konkkola M.
Assist: Muzaci A.
16' Event
Muzaci A.
Assist: Konkkola M.
24'
Silander S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between TPS and AC Oulu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
TPS
35%
Draws
26%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • AC Oulu have managed 1.18 goals a game lately — TPS are scoring more at 1.24.
  • Win probability leans TPS's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
TPS Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS AC Oulu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
TPS vs AC Oulu
3:0
May 16, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs TPS
1:0
Sep 14, 2019 Ykkosliiga
AC Oulu vs TPS
0:0
Jul 13, 2019 Ykkosliiga
TPS vs AC Oulu
1:0
May 25, 2019 Ykkosliiga
AC Oulu vs TPS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Konkkola M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muzaci A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AC Oulu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS 49 / 100
AC Oulu 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TPS scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

AC Oulu has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

TPS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: AC Oulu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS VS AC Oulu
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS

(Home)
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
TPS
0 : 0
Inter Turku
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
Page 1 of 6

AC Oulu

(Away)
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)