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TPS W vs EPS W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Laasio N.
28' Event
Kalliovaara T.
81' Event
Kalske L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with TPS W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
TPS W
15%
Draws
28%
EPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TPS W come out ahead of EPS W on wins alone.
  • TPS W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • TPS W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor TPS W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%
EPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W EPS W
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.6 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2022 Suomen Cup Women
TPS W vs EPS W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Laasio N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kalliovaara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

EPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalske L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 83 / 100
EPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W EPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EPS W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: TPS W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: TPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS EPS W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
17 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
2 : 3
TPS W
Page 1 of 6

EPS W

(Away)
16 Jun
EPS W
1 : 4
EBK W
27 May
EPS W
3 : 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W
17 Feb
TPS W
3 : 1
EPS W
12 Feb
EPS W
3 : 0
Pallo-Iirot W
06 Feb
HJK W
8 : 0
EPS W

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JyPK W 3 2 0 1 15:3 6
2 ONS Oulu W 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 RoPS Rovaniemi W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 OTP W 3 0 1 2 2:14 1
Promotion - Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS W 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 KuPS Akatemia W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 NJS W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Keski-Uusimaa W 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka W 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Ilves W 3 2 0 1 14:3 6
3 Ilves 2 W 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 TPS U18 W 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PK-35 Vantaa W 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Aland United W 3 2 0 1 16:4 6
3 HJK U18 W 3 1 0 2 4:17 3
4 VJS W 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PK-35 Helsinki W 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 HPS W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 VIFK Vaasa W 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
4 Sport Juniorit W 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
Promotion - Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 3 3 0 0 20:2 9
2 TPS W 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
3 EPS W 3 1 0 2 4:11 3
4 Pallo-Iirot W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - Suomen Cup Women 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams