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TPS W vs Ilves 2 W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2022
TPS W Logo

TPS W

3 - 0
FT
Ilves 2 W Logo

Ilves 2 W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TPS W in this Ykkonen Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
TPS W
15%
Draws
32%
Ilves 2 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ilves 2 W at 2.19 per game, TPS W at 1.59.
  • Model gives TPS W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and TPS W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
TPS W Clean Sheet 14%
Ilves 2 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W Ilves 2 W
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.59 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs TPS W
0:5
Jun 14, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
3:0
Sep 11, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs TPS W
1:3
Aug 27, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 75 / 100
Ilves 2 W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W Ilves 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilves 2 W conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

TPS W scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

TPS W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
Page 1 of 7

Ilves 2 W

(Away)
19 Oct
Ilves 2 W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
13 Oct
Pallo-Iirot W
0 : 3
Ilves 2 W
06 Oct
Ilves 2 W
1 : 5
Lahti W
28 Sept
EBK W
3 : 2
Ilves 2 W
21 Sept
Ilves 2 W
8 : 2
VJS W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TPS W 24 18 1 5 47:17 55
2 Keski-Uusimaa W 24 13 5 6 38:26 44
3 JyPK W 24 13 4 7 37:20 43
4 Ilves 2 W 24 9 5 10 33:35 32
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women 2023 (Main)