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TPS W vs Ilves 2 W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2022
TPS W Logo

TPS W

1 - 1
FT
Ilves 2 W Logo

Ilves 2 W

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ykkonen Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
TPS W
15%
Draws
32%
Ilves 2 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilves 2 W average 2.19 goals a game right now, well clear of TPS W's 1.59.
  • Win probability leans TPS W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TPS W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
TPS W Clean Sheet 14%
Ilves 2 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W Ilves 2 W
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.59 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs TPS W
0:5
Jun 14, 2024 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
3:0
Sep 11, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves 2 W vs TPS W
1:3
Aug 27, 2022 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Ilves 2 W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 75 / 100
Ilves 2 W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W Ilves 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilves 2 W conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

TPS W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: TPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
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Ilves 2 W

(Away)
19 Oct
Ilves 2 W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
13 Oct
Pallo-Iirot W
0 : 3
Ilves 2 W
06 Oct
Ilves 2 W
1 : 5
Lahti W
28 Sept
EBK W
3 : 2
Ilves 2 W
21 Sept
Ilves 2 W
8 : 2
VJS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 12 4 2 35:14 40
2 TPS W 18 13 1 4 33:14 40
3 JyPK W 18 10 3 5 26:13 33
4 Ilves 2 W 18 7 5 6 25:21 26
5 KuPS Akatemia W 18 6 6 6 18:17 24
6 VIFK Vaasa W 18 7 3 8 29:30 24
7 Pallo-Iirot W 18 6 5 7 21:22 23
8 EBK W 18 5 3 10 23:39 18
9 VJS W 18 2 6 10 21:41 12
10 Sport Vaasa W 18 2 4 12 19:39 10
Promotion - Ykkonen Women 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen Women 2022 (Relegation Group)