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TPS W vs Lahti W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W Logo

TPS W

4 - 4
FT
Lahti W Logo

Lahti W

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ignatov A.
31' Event
Ignatov A.
34' Event
Forsell J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TPS W
20%
Draws
33%
Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TPS W lately — more wins on the board than Lahti W.
  • Model gives TPS W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TPS W Clean Sheet 17%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W Lahti W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.6 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs TPS W
0:0
Aug 22, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
4:2
Jul 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs TPS W
1:1
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
4:4
Oct 10, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs Lahti W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Forsell J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Lahti W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kossila K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Venemies A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 84 / 100
Lahti W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W Lahti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahti W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

TPS W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: TPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS Lahti W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
05 Oct
TPS W
3 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
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Lahti W

(Away)
04 Oct
KTP W
0 : 1
Lahti W
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)