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TPS W vs ONS Oulu W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Valkama S.
84' Event
Mutikainen J.

AI Match Summary

ONS Oulu W in this Kansallinen Ykkonen Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ONS Oulu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
TPS W
15%
Draws
39%
ONS Oulu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ONS Oulu W lately — more wins on the board than TPS W.
  • Model gives ONS Oulu W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%
ONS Oulu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPS W ONS Oulu W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:2
May 23, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
ONS Oulu W vs TPS W
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
ONS Oulu W vs TPS W
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs ONS Oulu W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPS W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

ONS Oulu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Valkama S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mutikainen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPS W 14 / 100
ONS Oulu W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPS W ONS Oulu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONS Oulu W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: ONS Oulu W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: TPS W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TPS W VS ONS Oulu W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TPS W

(Home)
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
17 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Aug
TPS W
3 : 1
HJK Akatemia W
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ONS Oulu W

(Away)
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
29 Aug
ONS Oulu W
1 : 1
Keski-Uusimaa W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
16 Aug
ONS Oulu W
6 : 0
HJK Akatemia W
08 Aug
Lahti W
2 : 1
ONS Oulu W
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