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TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Toijala T.
48'
Dunyin J.
60'
Sub
Kostiainen R. In: Kujala A.
Out: Kostiainen R.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between TPV and JJK Jyvaskyla finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
TPV
15%
Draws
34%
JJK Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • JJK Jyvaskyla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TPV a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
JJK Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV JJK Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs TPV
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:2
Jun 6, 2020 Club Friendly
JJK Jyvaskyla vs TPV
2:1
Feb 16, 2019 Club Friendly
TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Toijala T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

JJK Jyvaskyla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 40 / 100
JJK Jyvaskyla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV JJK Jyvaskyla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JJK Jyvaskyla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

TPV scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: JJK Jyvaskyla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS JJK Jyvaskyla
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
26 Sept
TPV
1 : 3
Jazz Pori
20 Sept
FC Inter Turku 2
3 : 0
TPV
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
TPV
0 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
Page 1 of 6

JJK Jyvaskyla

(Away)
25 Sept
Tampere Utd
4 : 0
JJK Jyvaskyla
19 Sept
JJK Jyvaskyla
1 : 3
OLS Oulu
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)