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TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TPV play JJK Jyvaskyla in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, TPV averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. JJK Jyvaskyla averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, TPV won 1, JJK Jyvaskyla won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for TPV and 1.88 for JJK Jyvaskyla. This points to a JJK Jyvaskyla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
TPV
27%
Draws
39%
JJK Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: JJK Jyvaskyla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • TPV picked up more points recently compared to JJK Jyvaskyla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
TPV Clean Sheet 10%
JJK Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV JJK Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs TPV
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:2
Jun 6, 2020 Club Friendly
JJK Jyvaskyla vs TPV
2:1
Feb 16, 2019 Club Friendly
TPV vs JJK Jyvaskyla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Toijala T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

JJK Jyvaskyla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 33 / 100
JJK Jyvaskyla 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV JJK Jyvaskyla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: JJK Jyvaskyla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TPV attacking → ← attacking JJK Jyvaskyla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPV scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

JJK Jyvaskyla let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

TPV went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

JJK Jyvaskyla lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampere Utd13101228:831
2JJK Jyvaskyla1373335:2124
3RoPS Rovaniemi1264224:1222
4OLS Oulu1464426:1822
5SalPa1355328:2420
6Keski-Uusimaa1153321:1318
7VJS1245321:1517
8FC Inter Turku 21343625:3715
9Jazz Pori1352614:2014
10KuPS Akatemia1322920:308
11KPV Kokkola1322911:448
12TPV1214712:237