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TPV vs SalPa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass, Tampere
TPV Logo

TPV

1 - 1
FT
SalPa Logo

SalPa

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Akbal M.
62'
Riikonen E.
63'
Sub
Rrustemi E. In: Lulli M.
Out: Rrustemi E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between TPV and SalPa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
TPV
30%
Draws
33%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TPV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SalPa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TPV a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SalPa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TPV Clean Sheet 16%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV SalPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Ykkonen
TPV vs SalPa
1:1
May 23, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs TPV
4:2
Aug 11, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
SalPa vs TPV
5:0
Aug 7, 2021 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs SalPa
0:2
Jun 17, 2020 Kakkonen Group B
TPV vs SalPa
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakonen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV 41 / 100
SalPa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV SalPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

TPV's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

TPV has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

TPV VS SalPa
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV

(Home)
22 Aug
FC Inter Turku 2
0 : 1
TPV
15 Aug
Tampere Utd
1 : 1
TPV
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
05 Aug
OLS Oulu
4 : 2
TPV
01 Aug
TPV
6 : 3
RoPS Rovaniemi
Page 1 of 6

SalPa

(Away)
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
15 Aug
SalPa
0 : 2
Jazz Pori
11 Aug
TPV
1 : 1
SalPa
05 Aug
SalPa
2 : 1
JJK Jyvaskyla
01 Aug
KPV Kokkola
3 : 0
SalPa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 21 13 5 3 46:16 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 21 10 7 4 45:32 37
3 SalPa 21 9 6 6 38:34 33
4 Keski-Uusimaa 21 8 8 5 38:30 32
5 VJS 21 7 10 4 38:29 31
6 OLS Oulu 21 8 7 6 41:34 31
7 JJK Jyvaskyla 21 7 7 7 47:41 28
8 Jazz Pori 21 8 6 7 30:29 27
9 TPV 21 6 6 9 30:38 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 21 5 5 11 32:49 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 21 3 6 12 36:48 15
12 KPV Kokkola 21 4 3 14 23:64 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)