Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TPV W vs HPS W

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Kahre O.
64' Event
Kataja M.
88' Event
Attola S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
TPV W
15%
Draws
59%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • HPS W have won more games recently than TPV W.
  • HPS W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • HPS W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor HPS W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and HPS W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
TPV W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TPV W HPS W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 0.73 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
TPV W vs HPS W
0:4
Sep 15, 2018 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HPS W vs TPV W
13:0
May 13, 2018 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPV W vs HPS W
3:3
Sep 16, 2017 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPV W vs HPS W
2:3
May 25, 2017 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HPS W vs TPV W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TPV W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Attola S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kahre O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TPV W 10 / 100
HPS W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TPV W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: HPS W conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

TPV W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

TPV W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TPV W VS HPS W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TPV W

(Home)
17 Jun
TPV W
0 : 4
HPS W
28 May
Apassit W
1 : 2
TPV W
11 Jun
TPV W
0 : 4
Ilves W
20 Oct
Hertta W
4 : 0
TPV W
13 Oct
TPV W
0 : 9
VIFK Vaasa W
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HPS W

(Away)
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
16 Aug
Aland United W
2 : 1
HPS W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Aland United W 4
Tampere Utd W 0
Ilves W -
TBD -
Gnistan W 1
HIFK W 0
KuPS W -
TBD -
VPS W 3
FC PaRi Palokka W 2
NuPS W 0
PK-35 Vantaa W 8
HJK U18 W 4
Kiffen W 0
TBD -
HJK W -
EPS W 3
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) W 2
Lahti W 1
EBK W 2
Loviisa W 1
Keski-Uusimaa W 0
KTP W 0
Honka W 1
Apassit W 1
TPV W 2
TBD -
HPS W -
Athene FC W 3
Hertta W 2
WFA W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 1
1/8-finals
Aland United W 2
Ilves W 1
Gnistan W 0
KuPS W 2
VPS W 4
PK-35 Vantaa W 6
HJK U18 W 1
HJK W 6
EPS W 1
EBK W 4
Loviisa W 0
Honka W 8
TPV W 0
HPS W 4
Athene FC W 0
SJK-j Apollo W 3
Quarter-finals
Aland United W 1
KuPS W 2
PK-35 Vantaa W 1
HJK W 4
EBK W 4
Honka W 1
HPS W 5
SJK-j Apollo W 1
Semi-finals
KuPS W 0
HJK W 1
EBK W 0
HPS W 4
Final
HJK W 3
HPS W 1