Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium

TRA United

0 - 2

Mbeya City

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Yusufu O.

37'

Buha A.

(Penalty)

43'

Lidah H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between TRA United and Mbeya City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mbeya City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

TRA United

28%

Draws

50%

Mbeya City

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

TRA United carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%

TRA United Clean Sheet 23%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TRA United	Mbeya City
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	7
Draws	9	9
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.25	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs TRA United

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Feb 7, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United vs Mbeya City

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Naushad S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TRA United 24 / 100

Mbeya City 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TRA United Mbeya City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mbeya City conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: TRA United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

TRA United scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

TRA United VS Mbeya City

1.25 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9