Sport Picks
TRA United vs Mbeya City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium, Tabora 
Match Events
52'
52'
Sub
Haji H. In: Chota G.
Out: Haji H.
52'
52'
Sub
Mayanga V. In: Mwajanga O.
Out: Mayanga V.
53'
53'
Kombo N.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara game between TRA United and Mbeya City finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and TRA United come out ahead of Mbeya City on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
TRA United Clean Sheet 21%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TRA United | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mbeya City
0:0
Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs TRA United
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mbeya City
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TRA United 37 / 100
Mbeya City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TRA United Mbeya City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbeya City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: TRA United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
TRA United scored in 59% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
TRA United VS Mbeya City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
TRA United
(Home) 08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0 TRA United
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
24 May
TRA United
1 : 2 Fountain Gate
20 May
TRA United
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 3
Mbeya City
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 11 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
