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Trafford vs Ashton United

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Newton S.
64' Event
Hazeldine M.
82' Event
Potts L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Trafford and Ashton United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ashton United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Trafford
15%
Draws
28%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trafford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ashton United haven't matched Trafford's recent run of results.
  • Trafford are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Trafford Clean Sheet 17%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trafford Ashton United
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 FA Trophy
Trafford vs Ashton United
2:5
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Trafford vs Ashton United
1:2
Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Trafford vs Ashton United
4:2
Sep 1, 2020 Club Friendly
Trafford vs Ashton United
2:2
Sep 22, 2018 FA Cup
Ashton United vs Trafford
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trafford Compare

Top Goalscorer Hazeldine M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Ashton United Compare

Top Goalscorer Newton S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Potts L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trafford 57 / 100
Ashton United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trafford Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trafford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trafford scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Ashton United conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Trafford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trafford VS Ashton United
1.4 Goals Scored 1.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trafford

(Home)
19 Sept
Heaton Stannington
1 : 2
Trafford
05 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 3
Trafford
28 Jul
Trafford
2 : 1
Chorley
20 Jul
Trafford
0 : 3
United of Manchester
18 Jul
Trafford
2 : 0
Warrington Rylands
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Ashton United

(Away)
26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3
Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
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