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Trafford vs Bury FC

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trafford play Bury FC in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trafford averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Bury FC averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Trafford won 0, Bury FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 20, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Trafford and 2.31 for Bury FC. This points to a Bury FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Trafford
15%
Draws
55%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Trafford picked up more points recently compared to Bury FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Trafford Clean Sheet 10%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trafford Bury FC
Matches Played 27 17
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.67 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Trafford vs Bury FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trafford Compare

Top Goalscorer Cregg R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bury FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ly B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coughlan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trafford 29 / 100
Bury FC 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trafford Bury FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bury FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trafford attacking → ← attacking Bury FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trafford scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Bury FC let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Trafford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bury FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 34
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75