Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tralee vs St. Marys

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tralee in this FAI Cup 2009 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tralee
20%
Draws
0%
St. Marys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tralee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • St. Marys haven't matched Tralee's recent run of results.
  • Model gives St. Marys a 0% chance of winning this.
  • Tralee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tralee, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Tralee Clean Sheet 10%
St. Marys Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tralee St. Marys
Matches Played 10 8
Wins 3 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2009 FAI Cup
Tralee vs St. Marys
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tralee 10 / 100
St. Marys 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tralee St. Marys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Marys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Marys let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Difficult form: St. Marys registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tralee found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tralee VS St. Marys
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tralee

(Home)
23 Apr
Youghal
2 : 1
Tralee
16 Apr
Tralee
0 : 0
Youghal
30 Mar
Tralee
0 : 4
Waterford
23 May
Tolka
3 : 0
Tralee
16 May
Tralee
2 : 2
Tolka
Page 1 of 2

St. Marys

(Away)
16 Jan
St. Marys
0 : 2
Cork City
30 Apr
Evergreen United
3 : 2
St. Marys
24 Apr
St. Marys
0 : 1
Avondale United
19 Feb
St. Marys
1 : 3
Cork City
30 Mar
St. Marys
0 : 1
Phoenix
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2