Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tranmere vs Rochdale

England England

EFL Cup Prenton Park, Birkenhead
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Whitaker C.
Assist: Conlon T.
11' Event
East R.
42'
Senior J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tranmere
30%
Draws
33%
Rochdale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Rochdale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Tranmere taking it.
  • Rochdale arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rochdale, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 68%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tranmere Rochdale
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 EFL Cup
Tranmere vs Rochdale
2:3
Jul 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Tranmere vs Rochdale
0:2
Apr 18, 2023 League Two
Rochdale vs Tranmere
2:2
Oct 25, 2022 League Two
Tranmere vs Rochdale
1:1
Jan 15, 2022 League Two
Tranmere vs Rochdale
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitaker C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rochdale Compare

Top Goalscorer East R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silcott-Duberry Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tranmere 59 / 100
Rochdale 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tranmere Rochdale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranmere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochdale has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tranmere scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tranmere stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tranmere VS Rochdale
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tranmere

(Home)
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2
Rotherham
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Rochdale

(Away)
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4
Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0
Rochdale
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4
Gillingham
01 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 0
Shrewsbury
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
York City 0
Crawley Town 2
Tranmere 2
Rochdale 3