Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trapani vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, Erice
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Benedetti A.
15'
Di Pasquale D.
20'
Sub
Vazquez F. In: Ryder Matos
Out: Vazquez F.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Trapani
35%
Draws
49%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Crotone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Trapani Clean Sheet 17%
Crotone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trapani Crotone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Crotone
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Trapani
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Crotone
0:3
Sep 7, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Trapani
1:2
Jul 31, 2020 Serie B
Trapani vs Crotone
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Musso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trapani 23 / 100
Crotone 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trapani Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crotone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crotone conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Trapani scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Trapani has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trapani VS Crotone
0.43 Goals Scored 1
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trapani

(Home)
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
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Crotone

(Away)
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2
Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0
Crotone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)