Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trapani vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, Erice
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Benedetti A.
15'
Di Pasquale D.
20'
Sub
Vazquez F. In: Ryder Matos
Out: Vazquez F.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Trapani
35%
Draws
52%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Trapani.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Trapani taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Trapani Clean Sheet 11%
Crotone Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trapani Crotone
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Crotone
1:4
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Trapani
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Crotone
0:3
Sep 7, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Trapani
1:2
Jul 31, 2020 Serie B
Trapani vs Crotone
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Musso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trapani 35 / 100
Crotone 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trapani Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Trapani scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Crotone has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Trapani has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trapani VS Crotone
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trapani

(Home)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2
Salernitana
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

Crotone

(Away)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)