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Stadium Background

Trapani vs Reggina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, Erice
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Jallow L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Trapani and Reggina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trapani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Trapani
15%
Draws
57%
Reggina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Reggina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Reggina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trapani have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Trapani Clean Sheet 10%
Reggina Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trapani Reggina
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 24
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Reggina
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Trapani vs Reggina
3:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Reggina vs Trapani
0:2
Dec 30, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Reggina vs Trapani
1:1
Sep 18, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Reggina
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Reggina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trapani 10 / 100
Reggina 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trapani Reggina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trapani's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Reggina conceded in 34% of 32 recent games.

Trapani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trapani VS Reggina
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trapani

(Home)
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
Trapani
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Reggina

(Away)
04 Oct
Trapani
1 : 0
Reggina
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1
Reggina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)