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Trastevere Calcio vs Budoni Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Ferrante M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Trastevere Calcio and Budoni Calcio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Trastevere Calcio
30%
Draws
33%
Budoni Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trastevere Calcio come out ahead of Budoni Calcio on wins alone.
  • Trastevere Calcio are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trastevere Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 17%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Budoni Calcio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Budoni Calcio
1:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Trastevere Calcio vs Budoni Calcio
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Trastevere Calcio
0:2
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Trastevere Calcio
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Budoni Calcio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrante M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Budoni Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 36 / 100
Budoni Calcio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Budoni Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trastevere Calcio scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Trastevere Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Budoni Calcio has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trastevere Calcio VS Budoni Calcio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trastevere Calcio

(Home)
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Budoni Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Budoni Calcio
1 : 5
Monastir
27 Sept
US Venafro
2 : 3
Budoni Calcio
20 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 0
Anzio Calcio 1924
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)