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Trastevere Calcio vs Valmontone

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Crescenzo D.
49' Event
Petrucci G.
59' Event
Crescenzo D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Trastevere Calcio and Valmontone finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Trastevere Calcio
28%
Draws
50%
Valmontone
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valmontone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trastevere Calcio come out ahead of Valmontone on wins alone.
  • Model gives Valmontone a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Valmontone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trastevere Calcio Valmontone
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Valmontone
5:0
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Valmontone vs Trastevere Calcio
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Crescenzo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petrucci G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Valmontone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trastevere Calcio 23 / 100
Valmontone 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trastevere Calcio Valmontone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Valmontone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Trastevere Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trastevere Calcio VS Valmontone
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trastevere Calcio

(Home)
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 0
Trastevere Calcio
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Valmontone

(Away)
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scafatese34276175:2387
2Trastevere Calcio34179864:4660
3Monastir341581151:4453
4Flaminia341312953:3751
5Albalonga341481255:5550
6Latte Dolce341461449:4948
7Valmontone341461449:5048
8Nocerina341114936:3347
9Sarrabus Ogliastra3412101247:5146
10Budoni Calcio341291333:3245
11Palmese 19143411121141:4345
12Atl. Lodigiani3411111243:4044
13Ischia341271536:5243
14Anzio Calcio 19243410111338:4341
15Real Monterotondo341061839:5836
16Olbia348141239:5036
17Montespaccato346121647:5830
18Cassino34492124:5521
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)