Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
de Cerchio A.
31'
31'
Crescenzo D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Trastevere Calcio and Vastese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trastevere Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trastevere Calcio come out ahead of Vastese on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Vastese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trastevere Calcio | Vastese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Vastese
1:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Trastevere Calcio
4:4
May 25, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Vastese
4:0
May 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs Vastese
1:2
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Vastese vs Trastevere Calcio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trastevere Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Crescenzo D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Vastese Compare
Top Goalscorer de Cerchio A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trastevere Calcio 31 / 100
Vastese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trastevere Calcio Vastese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trastevere Calcio scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Vastese has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Trastevere Calcio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trastevere Calcio VS Vastese
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Trastevere Calcio
(Home) 04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0 Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1 Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0 Citta di Anagni
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6 Paganese
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1 Monastir
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0 Albalonga
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Vastese
(Away) 11 Aug
Vastese
1 : 0 Pineto
14 May
Vastese
1 : 2 Termoli
07 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Vastese
30 Apr
Vastese
1 : 0 Nuova Florida
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Vastese
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07 May
Pineto
2 : 1 Vastese
23 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Vastese
06 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
0 : 1 Vastese
19 Mar
Sambenedettese
1 : 0 Vastese
05 Mar
Vastogirardi
2 : 1 Vastese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineto | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 50:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 52:34 | 67 |
| 3 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 62 |
| 4 | Fano | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 45:34 | 60 |
| 5 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 32:23 | 52 |
| 6 | Matese | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:27 | 46 |
| 9 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 28:27 | 45 |
| 10 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:31 | 42 |
| 11 | Nuova Florida | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 33:44 | 42 |
| 12 | Avezzano | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:41 | 40 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:42 | 37 |
| 14 | Vastese | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 37:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Termoli | 34 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 16 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 21:34 | 31 |
| 18 | US Tolentino | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 25:41 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)
