Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Fiori vs Cailungo

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bernardi T. L.
Assist: Braschi L.
9' Event
Persichilli L.
Assist: Bua A.
56' Event
Prandelli M.
Assist: Scarcella D.

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tre Fiori
6%
Draws
4%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tre Fiori have won more games recently than Cailungo.
  • Win probability leans Tre Fiori's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tre Fiori have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori Cailungo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Cailungo
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Fiori
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Fiori
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Cailungo
7:0
Mar 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Fiori
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardi T. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prandelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Persichilli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bua A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 95 / 100
Cailungo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cailungo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Tre Fiori's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Cailungo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS Cailungo
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Fiori

(Home)
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
La Fiorita
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1
SS Pennarossa
19 Apr
SC Faetano
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
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Cailungo

(Away)
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
19 Apr
Cailungo
1 : 6
Virtus
11 Apr
Tre Penne
6 : 1
Cailungo
07 Apr
Cailungo
1 : 2
SS Pennarossa
21 Mar
SP Cosmos
2 : 1
Cailungo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)