Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Bernardi T. L.
Assist: Braschi L.
9'
9'
Persichilli L.
Assist: Bua A.
56'
56'
Prandelli M.
Assist: Scarcella D.
AI Match Summary
Tre Fiori in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Fiori.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Tre Fiori have won more games recently than Cailungo.
- Win probability leans Tre Fiori's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tre Fiori have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Cailungo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Cailungo
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Fiori
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Fiori
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs Cailungo
7:0
Mar 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Fiori
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Fiori Compare
Top Goalscorer Bernardi T. L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prandelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79
Cailungo Compare
Top Goalscorer Persichilli L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bua A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Fiori 95 / 100
Cailungo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Fiori Cailungo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tre Fiori's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Tre Fiori has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tre Fiori VS Cailungo
1 Goals Scored 0.86
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 57%
63% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Fiori
(Home) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
06 Aug
Tre Fiori
1 : 4 Drita
Page 1 of 5
Cailungo
(Away) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1 Cailungo
11 Apr
Tre Penne
6 : 1 Cailungo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
