Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Fiori vs Larne

Europe Europe

Champions League San Marino Stadium
Tue, Jul 7, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tre Fiori play Larne in the Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tre Fiori averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Larne averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Tre Fiori won 1, Larne won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Tre Fiori and 1.38 for Larne. This points to a Tre Fiori double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tre Fiori
33%
Draws
40%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tre Fiori has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Larne.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Larne.
  • Cup tournament structure in Champions League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 17%
Larne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Fiori Larne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Champions League
Tre Fiori vs Larne
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Champions League
Larne vs Tre Fiori
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Champions League
Tre Fiori vs Larne
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Champions League
Larne vs Tre Fiori
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Champions League
Tre Fiori vs Larne
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Fiori 28 / 100
Larne 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Fiori Larne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Fiori scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Larne let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tre Fiori went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Larne lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tre Fiori VS Larne
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Inter Escaldes-
Tre Fiori-
Larne-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku-
TNS-
Vardar-
KuPS-
Klaksvik-
Bissen-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Drita-
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia-
Riga FC-
Floriana-
Shamrock Rovers-
Borac Banja Luka-
Levski Sofia-
ML Vitebsk-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty-
Sutjeska-
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
Gyor-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora-
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti-
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Omonia-
TBD-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-