Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Graham S.
19'
19'
McClelland S.
45'
45'
Lusty M.
Assist: McClelland S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tre Fiori come out ahead of Larne on wins alone.
- Model gives Tre Fiori a 38% chance of winning this.
- Tre Fiori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Fiori | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 Champions League
Larne vs Tre Fiori
2:1
Jul 7, 2026 Champions League
Tre Fiori vs Larne
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Fiori Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Lusty M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Fiori 77 / 100
Larne 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Fiori Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tre Fiori scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Tre Fiori has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Larne has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tre Fiori VS Larne
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Fiori
(Home) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
06 Aug
Tre Fiori
1 : 4 Drita
Page 1 of 4
Larne
(Away) 19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2 Larne
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0 Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
