Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tre Penne vs Cailungo

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Turchetta G.
32' Event
Berardi F.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Errico S.
Assist: Loiodice S.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Tre Penne and Cailungo finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Penne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Tre Penne
15%
Draws
14%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tre Penne come out ahead of Cailungo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tre Penne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Penne have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tre Penne Cailungo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 2 24
Goals Scored 2.38 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.59 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Penne
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Cailungo
6:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Tre Penne
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Cailungo
2:1
Oct 22, 2024 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Cailungo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tre Penne Compare

Top Goalscorer Turchetta G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Errico S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bua A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tre Penne 95 / 100
Cailungo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tre Penne Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tre Penne's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cailungo conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Tre Penne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tre Penne VS Cailungo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tre Penne

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
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Cailungo

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)