Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Berardi F.
75'
75'
Loiodice S.
84'
84'
Ura R.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Tre Penne and Folgore finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Tre Penne carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tre Penne's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tre Penne | Folgore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Folgore
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Tre Penne
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Tre Penne
1:1
Dec 11, 2024 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Folgore
3:2
Nov 27, 2024 Coppa Titano
Folgore vs Tre Penne
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Berardi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Folgore Compare
Top Goalscorer Ura R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tre Penne 50 / 100
Folgore 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tre Penne Folgore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tre Penne found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).
Tre Penne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Folgore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Tre Penne VS Folgore
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tre Penne
(Home) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1 SP Domagnano
12 May
Tre Penne
0 : 1 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
Folgore
(Away) 19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1 Folgore
25 Apr
SP Domagnano
3 : 7 Folgore
12 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
2 : 2 Folgore
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
