Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trearddur Bay vs Penparcau FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trearddur Bay play Penparcau FC in the FA Cup 2010/2011. Trearddur Bay are favorites here. Recently, Trearddur Bay averaged 2.92 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Penparcau FC averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.71 conceded. In past meetings, Trearddur Bay won 1, Penparcau FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2010 ended 7:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.04 for Trearddur Bay and 2.15 for Penparcau FC. This points to a Trearddur Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Trearddur Bay
15%
Draws
11%
Penparcau FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trearddur Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Trearddur Bay picked up more points recently compared to Penparcau FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.04 vs 2.15 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Trearddur Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Penparcau FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trearddur Bay Penparcau FC
Matches Played 13 7
Wins 8 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.92 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 3.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2010 FA Cup
Trearddur Bay vs Penparcau FC
7:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trearddur Bay 69 / 100
Penparcau FC 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trearddur Bay Penparcau FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trearddur Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Trearddur Bay & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trearddur Bay attacking → ← attacking Penparcau FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trearddur Bay scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Penparcau FC let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Trearddur Bay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Penparcau FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 0
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.43
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.71