Sport Picks

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Treasure Beach vs Arnett Gardens

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Steths Sports Complex, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Shepherd J.
40' Event
Lawrence N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Treasure Beach
15%
Draws
59%
Arnett Gardens
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Arnett Gardens have won more games recently than Treasure Beach.
  • Model gives Arnett Gardens a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 10%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treasure Beach Arnett Gardens
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Arnett Gardens
0:4
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Arnett Gardens
1:1
Oct 7, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Treasure Beach
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Arnett Gardens
1:4
Jan 5, 2024 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Treasure Beach
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Shepherd J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treasure Beach 10 / 100
Arnett Gardens 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treasure Beach Arnett Gardens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnett Gardens's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Treasure Beach scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Treasure Beach stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treasure Beach VS Arnett Gardens
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treasure Beach

(Home)
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2
Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
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Arnett Gardens

(Away)
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)