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Treaty United vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treaty United host Athlone in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Treaty United have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Athlone's 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Treaty United have won 3 to Athlone's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Treaty United to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Treaty United
22%
Draws
60%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Treaty United have won more games recently than Athlone.
  • Model gives Athlone a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 21%
Athlone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Athlone
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Treaty United
0:0
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
3:2
Jul 25, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Treaty United
2:2
Apr 25, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 20 / 100
Athlone 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Athlone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Treaty United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Treaty United scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Athlone
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822