Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Treaty United host Longford in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Treaty United have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Longford's 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Treaty United have won 1 to Longford's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.63) back Longford to edge this. Longford in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Treaty United

30%

Draws

34%

Longford

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Longford has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Treaty United.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Treaty United.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Treaty United Clean Sheet 14%

Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Treaty United	Longford
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	9	7
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 1

Longford vs Treaty United

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Apr 3, 2026 Division 1

Treaty United vs Longford

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Oct 5, 2025 Division 1

Treaty United vs Longford

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Aug 9, 2025 Division 1

Longford vs Treaty United

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

May 23, 2025 Division 1

Treaty United vs Longford

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 35 / 100

Longford 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Treaty United Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treaty United scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Longford let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Treaty United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Longford

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22