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Treaty United vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Markets Field, Limerick
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Curtis C.
46'
Sub
Lomboto G. In: Grogan P.
Out: Lomboto G.
54' Event
Oyenuga J.

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Treaty United
20%
Draws
52%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Athlone have won more games recently than Treaty United.
  • Model gives Athlone a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 16%
Athlone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Athlone
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
2:1
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Treaty United
0:0
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
Treaty United vs Athlone
3:2
Jul 25, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Treaty United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Curtis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oyenuga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Crawford J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 19 / 100
Athlone 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Treaty United scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Athlone conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Treaty United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS Athlone
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
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Athlone

(Away)
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)