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Treaty United vs Usher Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Guerins S.
48' Event
George D.
61' Event
George D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Treaty United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Treaty United
15%
Draws
0%
Usher Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Treaty United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Treaty United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Treaty United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Treaty United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Treaty United Clean Sheet 68%
Usher Celtic Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treaty United Usher Celtic
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 9 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.1 0
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2022 FAI Cup
Treaty United vs Usher Celtic
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer George D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guerins S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Usher Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treaty United 77 / 100
Usher Celtic 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treaty United Usher Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treaty United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usher Celtic has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Treaty United scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Usher Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Treaty United VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Treaty United

(Home)
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Usher Celtic

(Away)
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
27 Feb
St Mochta's
3 : 0
Usher Celtic
29 Jul
Treaty United
5 : 0
Usher Celtic
25 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
1 : 0
Usher Celtic

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salthill 2
Malahide United 3
St. Patricks 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Wexford 2
Dundalk 4
Longford 0
Bonagee 6
Pike Rovers 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 3
Lucan Utd 3
Killester Donnycarney 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Derry City 7
Oliver Bond FC 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Cork City 1
Drogheda 5
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Maynooth University 2
Villa FC 1
Treaty United 5
Usher Celtic 0
Bluebell Utd 0
Galway United 7
UC Dublin 3
Cockhill 0
1/8-finals
Malahide United 0
Waterford 6
Wexford 2
Dundalk 3
Bonagee 0
Shelbourne 4
Lucan Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Derry City 2
Cork City 0
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Maynooth University 0
Treaty United 3
Galway United 2
UC Dublin 3
Quarter-finals
Waterford 3
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 3
Bohemians 0
Derry City 3
Shamrock Rovers 1
Treaty United 4
UC Dublin 1
Semi-finals
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 1
Final
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 4