Sport Picks
Trefelin vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Trefelin have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Llantwit Major's 1.44 scored and 1.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Trefelin slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Trefelin. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Llantwit Major haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
- Model gives Llantwit Major a 51% chance of winning this.
- Trefelin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Trefelin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trefelin | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llantwit Major's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Trefelin's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Trefelin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
