Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trefelin vs Port Talbot

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jones-Thomas M.
14' Event
Davies A.
21' Event
Clarke J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Trefelin in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Trefelin
15%
Draws
85%
Port Talbot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Port Talbot haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Port Talbot a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 20%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin Port Talbot
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 26 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 2.54 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.32 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Port Talbot
4:0
Jul 24, 2021 Cymru South
Port Talbot vs Trefelin
0:4
Apr 17, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Port Talbot
0:0
Aug 13, 2019 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Trefelin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones-Thomas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Davies A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Port Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 10 / 100
Port Talbot 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin Port Talbot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Talbot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Talbot has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Trefelin found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Port Talbot lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
07 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 4
Llandudno FC
31 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Trefelin
25 Jul
Bromsgrove
8 : 0
Trefelin
Page 1 of 8

Port Talbot

(Away)
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1
Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1
Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0
Afan Lido
30 Apr
Trefelin
4 : 0
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)