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Trefelin vs TNS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Ynys Park, Cwmafan
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hughes R.
14' Event
Holden R.
33'
Simeu D.

AI Match Summary

TNS in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Trefelin
15%
Draws
80%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • TNS have won more games recently than Trefelin.
  • Win probability leans TNS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
TNS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trefelin TNS
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Trefelin vs TNS
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holden R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trefelin 10 / 100
TNS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trefelin TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:11
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Trefelin scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

TNS let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Trefelin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trefelin VS TNS
0.63 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trefelin

(Home)
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)