Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Treharris Athletic vs Briton Ferry

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Briton Ferry in this FA Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Treharris Athletic
15%
Draws
0%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treharris Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Treharris Athletic haven't matched Briton Ferry's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Treharris Athletic's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Briton Ferry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Briton Ferry, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Treharris Athletic Clean Sheet 19%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treharris Athletic Briton Ferry
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.45
Goals Conceded 3.58 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Treharris Athletic vs Briton Ferry
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treharris Athletic 49 / 100
Briton Ferry 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treharris Athletic Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treharris Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treharris Athletic found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (12 games).

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Briton Ferry lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Briton Ferry has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Briton Ferry
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Treharris Athletic

(Home)
16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2
Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0
Treharris Athletic
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4
Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2
Cornelly
Page 1 of 3

Briton Ferry

(Away)
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4
Barry Town
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 3
Afan Lido 2
Pencoed 1
Ton Pentre 3
Cwmamman United 4
Dinas Powys 0
Garden Village 1
Blaenrhondda 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 2
STM Sports 1
Trefelin 1
Pure Swansea 2
Goytre AFC 2
Radnor Valley 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Pontypridd United 2
Flint Town 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Brickfield Rangers 3
Gresford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Penrhyncoch 2
New Brighton Villa 1
Prestatyn 5
Holyhead 4
Corwen 2
Coedpoeth 2
Ruthin Town 3
Cefn Albion 7
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Mold Alexandra 2
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penlan Club 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 2
Rhostyllen 0
Llandudno Amateurs 2
Nantlle Vale FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sully Sports 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 3
Pwllheli 0
Hawarden Rangers 2
Llanfair United 3
Llay Welfare 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Penycae FC 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Llangefni 2
Borth United 0
Llandudno Albion 3
St. Asaph 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 1
Caerau Ely 0
Cornelly 2
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 5
Port Talbot 0
West End 0
Caldicot 6
Buckley 3
Brymbo 1
Holyhead Town 3
Denbigh 9
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caersws FC 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Conwy Borough 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monmouth 4
Undy 3
Taffs Well 1
Ynysddu Welfare 2
Penybont 3
Panteg 1
Llandrindod 1
Aberbargoed Buds 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/32-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Cwmbran Town 1
Ton Pentre 2
Cwmamman United 2
Blaenrhondda 1
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Haverfordwest 4
Pure Swansea 3
Goytre AFC 3
Pontypridd United 6
Flint Town 3
Gresford 2
TBD -
Bala -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Berriew FC 3
Prestatyn 6
Holyhead 3
Ruthin Town 1
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor City 6
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 1
Guilsfield 4
Nantlle Vale FC 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
Sully Sports 1
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Porthmadog 4
Llanfair United 1
Llay Welfare 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 9
Llangefni 5
St. Asaph 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry 4
Treharris Athletic 3
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Cambrian United 3
Caldicot 2
Buckley 1
Denbigh 3
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Rhyl 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Monmouth 1
Ynysddu Welfare 3
Penybont 2
Aberbargoed Buds 0
TBD -
Barry Town -
1/16-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ton Pentre 1
Cwmamman United 3
Aberystwyth 4
Haverfordwest 3
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 0
Bala 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Holyhead 1
Bangor City 4
Carmarthen Town 3
Goytre Utd 0
Guilsfield 2
Connahs Q. 4
TNS 3
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Porthmadog 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llanelli 0
Briton Ferry 2
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 2
Denbigh 1
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 3
Ynysddu Welfare 1
Penybont 1
Barry Town 4
1/8-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Aberystwyth 1
Haverfordwest 0
Bala 4
Caernarfon 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangefni 1
Llandudno FC 3
Cambrian United 3
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 2
Barry Town 3
Quarter-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Bala 0
Caernarfon 1
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 8
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 2
Barry Town 3
Semi-finals
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 3
TNS 2
Barry Town 0
Final
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 3