Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Monmouth in this FA Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monmouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Monmouth have won more games recently than Treharris Athletic.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Monmouth taking it.
- Monmouth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monmouth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Treharris Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Monmouth Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Treharris Athletic | Monmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 18 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.58 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.58 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Treharris Athletic vs Monmouth
1:7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Treharris Athletic 10 / 100
Monmouth 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Treharris Athletic Monmouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monmouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Treharris Athletic scored in 83% of their last 12 outings.
Monmouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.
These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.
Treharris Athletic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Treharris Athletic VS Monmouth
0.67 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Treharris Athletic
(Home) 16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Abergavenny Town
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
14 Aug
Pencoed
5 : 0 Treharris Athletic
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
Page 1 of 3
16 Sept
Treharris Athletic
1 : 2 Porthcawl Town
10 Nov
Treharris Athletic
3 : 4 Briton Ferry
20 Oct
Treharris Athletic
3 : 2 Cornelly
09 Nov
Treharris Athletic
1 : 7 Monmouth
11 Sept
Treharris Athletic
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
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Monmouth
(Away) 19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3 Pill
21 Sept
Newport City
0 : 2 Monmouth
25 Sept
Buckley
2 : 0 Monmouth
04 Sept
Monmouth
3 : 0 Llanelli
14 Aug
Monmouth
3 : 1 Cwmamman United
Page 1 of 4
21 Sept
Newport City
0 : 2 Monmouth
25 Sept
Buckley
2 : 0 Monmouth
28 Feb
Risca United
4 : 0 Monmouth
22 Feb
Caldicot
1 : 2 Monmouth
11 Jan
Ton Pentre
3 : 0 Monmouth
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield 6
Machynlleth 1
Gwalchmai 2
Llanfair United 3
Rhydymwyn 2
Caerwys 1
Pwllheli 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 4
Butetown FC 0
Goytre AFC 1
Pontardawe 2
Goytre Utd 3
Trefelin 1
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Chepstow Town 2
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nefyn United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 1
Denbigh 0
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Llanrug 1
Caernarfon 4
Ton Pentre 3
Fairfield United FC 0
Llwydcoed 1
Sully Sports 3
Llanidloes Town 3
Glan Conwy FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 1
Llandudno FC 5
Treharris Athletic 3
Llantwit Major 2
AFC Porth 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 3
West End 2
Aberaeron 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Llandrindod 3
Newport Civil Service 0
Cardiff Hibernian 0
Caerau Ely 4
Penycae FC 7
Brickfield Rangers 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town 3
Llanberis FC 1
Llanrwst United 3
Conwy Borough 4
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Splott 1
Caldicot 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 4
Treowen 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 2
Llangollen 0
Chirk AAA FC 0
Rhayader 1
Tywyn Bryncrug 3
Berriew FC 2
Glantraeth FC 2
Bodedern 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 6
Undy 5
Presteigne St. Andrews 2
Taffs Well 0
Barry Town 1
Rhoose FC 2
Garden Village 1
Bridgend Street 1
Tata Steel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Guilsfield 1
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 2
Pontardawe 0
Goytre Utd 0
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Nefyn United 1
Caersws FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Caernarfon 1
Ton Pentre 0
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 2
Llandudno FC 0
Treharris Athletic 1
Monmouth 7
Newtown -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 6
Llandrindod 4
Caerau Ely 3
Penycae FC 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
Flint Town 2
Conwy Borough 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 0
Caldicot 3
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 3
Briton Ferry 2
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 1
Rhayader 0
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Bodedern 5
Cefn Druids 3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 1
Undy 3
Barry Town 4
Rhoose FC 1
Tata Steel 0
TBD -
Bala -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Afan Lido 2
Cambrian United 3
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. 1
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 2
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llandrindod 1
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Conwy Borough 1
Port Talbot 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Bangor City 2
Rhyl 1
Penybont 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Prestatyn 2
Buckley 0
Bodedern 2
Cefn Druids 5
Barry Town 2
Rhoose FC 1
Bala 6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 5
Afan Lido 1
Cambrian United 3
Caersws FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Carmarthen Town 0
Bangor City 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Bodedern 1
Cefn Druids 0
Bala 5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Caersws FC 1
Porthmadog 1
Holywell Town FC 2
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Aberdare Town 1
Bala 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Holywell Town FC 1
TNS 2
Bala 1
Final
Aberystwyth 2
TNS 3
