Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Vångavallen

Trelleborg

1 - 1

AFC Malmo

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Nouri B.

27'

Poppler V.

27'

Larsen L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Trelleborg and AFC Malmo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Trelleborg

33%

Draws

27%

AFC Malmo

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Trelleborg a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Trelleborg Clean Sheet 12%

AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trelleborg	AFC Malmo
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	9	4
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.88	2.5
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 1 - Södra

Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly

AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Feb 21, 2023 Club Friendly

Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly

Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Poppler V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sener C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trelleborg 38 / 100

AFC Malmo 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trelleborg AFC Malmo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Trelleborg found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Trelleborg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trelleborg VS AFC Malmo

1.88 Goals Scored 2.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	14	9	5	0	33:12	32
2	AFC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28:16	27
3	Atvidaberg	14	7	5	2	30:18	26
4	Lunds Bois	14	7	5	2	26:16	26
5	Rosengard	14	6	4	4	23:19	22
6	Hassleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27:22	21
7	Tvaaker	14	6	3	5	17:19	21
8	Eskilsminne	15	6	2	7	25:28	20
9	Olympic	14	6	1	7	22:24	19
10	Jonkoping	14	5	3	6	20:15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22:22	16
12	Skovde	14	3	7	4	11:20	16
13	Kristianstad	15	3	5	7	16:24	14
14	Laholms	14	4	1	9	21:29	13
15	Trollhattan	14	2	7	5	18:26	13
16	Utsikten	14	1	1	12	10:39	4