Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Vångavallen

Trelleborg

1 - 1

Jonkoping

Our Tip

Match Events

51'

Gabrielsson O.

52'

Sub

Crona S. In: Almstrom O.

Out: Crona S.

53'

Sub

Galabri K. In: Benatallah F.

Out: Galabri K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Trelleborg

28%

Draws

22%

Jonkoping

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Jonkoping lately — more wins on the board than Trelleborg.
50% — that's where the model lands on Trelleborg taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Trelleborg Clean Sheet 68%

Jonkoping Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trelleborg	Jonkoping
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	10	12
Draws	9	8
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Södra

Trelleborg vs Jonkoping

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Mar 16, 2024 Club Friendly

Trelleborg vs Jonkoping

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Sep 28, 2023 Superettan

Trelleborg vs Jonkoping

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Jun 10, 2023 Superettan

Jonkoping vs Trelleborg

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Oct 3, 2022 Superettan

Trelleborg vs Jonkoping

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabrielsson O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Jonkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyck H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trelleborg 59 / 100

Jonkoping 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trelleborg Jonkoping

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trelleborg found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Jonkoping's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Trelleborg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trelleborg VS Jonkoping

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	14	9	5	0	33:12	32
2	AFC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28:16	27
3	Atvidaberg	14	7	5	2	30:18	26
4	Lunds Bois	14	7	5	2	26:16	26
5	Rosengard	14	6	4	4	23:19	22
6	Hassleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27:22	21
7	Tvaaker	14	6	3	5	17:19	21
8	Eskilsminne	15	6	2	7	25:28	20
9	Olympic	14	6	1	7	22:24	19
10	Jonkoping	14	5	3	6	20:15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22:22	16
12	Skovde	14	3	7	4	11:20	16
13	Kristianstad	15	3	5	7	16:24	14
14	Laholms	14	4	1	9	21:29	13
15	Trollhattan	14	2	7	5	18:26	13
16	Utsikten	14	1	1	12	10:39	4