Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trelleborg vs Trollhattan

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Vångavallen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trelleborg play Trollhattan in the Division 1 - Södra. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trelleborg averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Trollhattan averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Trelleborg won 3, Trollhattan won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Trelleborg and 1.19 for Trollhattan. This points to a Trelleborg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Trelleborg
34%
Draws
28%
Trollhattan
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Trelleborg picked up more points recently compared to Trollhattan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 20%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trelleborg Trollhattan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Trollhattan
2:2
Aug 23, 2014 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Trollhattan
1:1
May 4, 2014 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Trelleborg
0:2
Aug 18, 2013 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs Trelleborg
0:1
Jun 23, 2013 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Trollhattan
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lofberg E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabrielsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Trollhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tilly H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trelleborg 38 / 100
Trollhattan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trelleborg Trollhattan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trelleborg or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trelleborg attacking → ← attacking Trollhattan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trelleborg scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Trollhattan let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Trelleborg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Trollhattan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 39
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trelleborg1495033:1232
2AFC Malmo1483328:1627
3Atvidaberg1475230:1826
4Lunds Bois1475226:1626
5Rosengard1464423:1922
6Hassleholms IF1463527:2221
7Tvaaker1463517:1921
8Eskilsminne1562725:2820
9Olympic1461722:2419
10Jonkoping1453620:1518
11Angelholm1437422:2216
12Skovde1437411:2016
13Kristianstad1535716:2414
14Laholms1441921:2913
15Trollhattan1427518:2613
16Utsikten14111210:394