Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trem vs Comercial PI

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Série D 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Trem
15%
Draws
34%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trem lately — more wins on the board than Comercial PI.
  • Trem are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Trem Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Comercial PI
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.67 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2011 Serie D
Trem vs Comercial PI
1:1
Aug 6, 2011 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Trem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 36 / 100
Comercial PI 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trem scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Comercial PI has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Comercial PI registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS Comercial PI
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 6

Comercial PI

(Away)
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
23 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 0
Corisabba
18 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 5 1 2 19:11 16
2 Penarol 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
3 Placido de Castro 8 3 3 2 16:9 12
4 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 8 2 1 5 9:14 7
5 SE Vila Aurora 8 1 3 4 7:18 6
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 8 4 2 2 12:10 14
2 Sampaio Correa 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
3 Trem 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
4 Sao Raimundo RR 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
5 Comercial PI 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz de Natal 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
2 Santa Cruz 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 7:4 11
4 Alecrim 8 3 0 5 7:12 9
5 CA Porto 8 1 2 5 6:11 5
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coruripe 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
2 Treze PB 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
3 Bahia de Feira 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
4 SE River Plate 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
5 Vitoria da Conquista 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupi-MG 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
2 Anapolina 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
3 Itumbiara 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
4 Gama 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
5 Tocantinopolis 8 2 1 5 10:18 7
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa Nova AC 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 Volta Redonda 8 4 3 1 11:3 15
3 Audax RJ 8 3 2 3 13:7 11
4 Bosque Formosa 8 2 3 3 5:12 9
5 SAO Mateus 8 0 3 5 7:19 3
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osasco Sporting 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
2 Mirassol 8 4 2 2 6:7 14
3 CENE 8 4 1 3 15:13 13
4 Operario-PR 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
5 Ceramica AC 8 1 2 5 6:9 5
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SE Juventude 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
2 Cianorte 8 4 2 2 9:9 14
3 Brusque 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
4 CA Metropolitano 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
5 Cruzeiro RS 8 1 2 5 6:11 5
Promotion - Série D 2011 (Play Offs)