Sport Picks
Trem vs Independencia Futebol Clube
Brazil
Copa Norte Estádio Augusto Antunes, Santana 
Match Events
18'
18'
Wander Silva
24'
24'
Moreira J.
52'
52'
Wander Silva
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Trem lately — more wins on the board than Independencia Futebol Clube.
- Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 46% chance of winning this.
- Trem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Independencia Futebol Clube, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Trem Clean Sheet 13%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trem | Independencia Futebol Clube |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Norte
Trem vs Independencia Futebol Clube
4:0
Jun 29, 2025 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Trem
2:2
May 21, 2025 Serie D
Trem vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trem Compare
Top Goalscorer Wander Silva
2 Goals Assists Leader Moreira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Independencia Futebol Clube Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trem 19 / 100
Independencia Futebol Clube 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trem Independencia Futebol Clube
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independencia Futebol Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trem found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Independencia Futebol Clube has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Trem has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Trem VS Independencia Futebol Clube
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Trem
(Home) 13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4 America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2 Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2 Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4 America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2 Sampaio Correa
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
23 May
Trem
4 : 1 Tocantinopolis
17 May
Trem
4 : 2 Oratorio
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Independencia Futebol Clube
(Away) 28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
Page 1 of 7
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
09 May
Porto Velho
2 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
26 Apr
Araguaina
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
19 Apr
Galvez
2 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
