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Trem vs Macapa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2018
Trem Logo

Trem

1 - 0
FT
Macapa Logo

Macapa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2018 game between Trem and Macapa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Trem
15%
Draws
28%
Macapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trem come out ahead of Macapa on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Trem taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trem have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Trem Clean Sheet 19%
Macapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Macapa
Matches Played 56 30
Wins 30 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.86 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Amapaense
Trem vs Macapa
1:0
Feb 8, 2024 Amapaense
Trem vs Macapa
1:0
May 31, 2023 Amapaense
Macapa vs Trem
0:1
May 5, 2022 Amapaense
Macapa vs Trem
2:5
Aug 26, 2021 Amapaense
Macapa vs Trem
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 85 / 100
Macapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Macapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trem's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 56 recent games.

Macapa let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Macapa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 12

Macapa

(Away)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Ypiranga AP 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Trem 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
4 Macapa 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Sao Paulo AP 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2018 (Play Offs)