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Trem vs Santos AP

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Moreira J.
71' Event
Debu
86' Event
Mauro Praia
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Trem
20%
Draws
52%
Santos AP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Trem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santos AP a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Trem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Trem, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Trem Clean Sheet 10%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Santos AP
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 20 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Trem
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Trem
0:3
Apr 23, 2025 Amapaense
Trem vs Santos AP
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Trem
1:2
Jul 11, 2024 Amapaense
Trem vs Santos AP
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Santos AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Debu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 10 / 100
Santos AP 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Santos AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trem scored in 81% of their last 43 outings.

Defensive concern: Santos AP conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Trem went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS Santos AP
2.25 Goals Scored 4
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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Santos AP

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2
Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Trem
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Trem 4
Santos AP 1
Oratorio 2
Independente AP 2
Final
Trem 2
Oratorio 1