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Trem vs Sao Paulo AP

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2019
Trem Logo

Trem

4 - 1
FT
Sao Paulo AP Logo

Sao Paulo AP

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2019 game between Trem and Sao Paulo AP finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Trem
15%
Draws
51%
Sao Paulo AP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Trem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo AP's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Trem have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Trem Clean Sheet 14%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trem Sao Paulo AP
Matches Played 53 30
Wins 29 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.92 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Trem
1:3
May 10, 2023 Amapaense
Trem vs Sao Paulo AP
5:2
May 25, 2022 Amapaense
Trem vs Sao Paulo AP
5:0
Sep 9, 2021 Amapaense
Trem vs Sao Paulo AP
3:1
Sep 4, 2021 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Trem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trem 19 / 100
Sao Paulo AP 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trem Sao Paulo AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trem scored in 83% of their last 53 games.

Sao Paulo AP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Trem remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trem VS Sao Paulo AP
1.63 Goals Scored 1.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Trem

(Home)
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1
Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4
America RN
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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Sao Paulo AP

(Away)
22 Jun
Rio Norte
2 : 0
Sao Paulo AP
12 Jun
Sao Paulo AP
4 : 0
Lagoa
03 Jun
Cruzeiro AP
2 : 1
Sao Paulo AP
26 May
Sao Paulo AP
2 : 1
Latitude Zero
21 May
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Sao Paulo AP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 4 2 2 0 13:5 8
2 Ypiranga AP 4 2 2 0 9:6 8
3 Trem 4 2 1 1 12:4 7
4 Sao Paulo AP 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
5 Santana EC 4 0 1 3 4:22 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2019 (Play Offs)