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Trenelle vs Samaritaine

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Trenelle Logo

Trenelle

2 - 0
FT
Samaritaine Logo

Samaritaine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Trenelle in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trenelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Trenelle
15%
Draws
26%
Samaritaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trenelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Trenelle haven't matched Samaritaine's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Trenelle Clean Sheet 15%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trenelle Samaritaine
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Samaritaine
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Trenelle
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Trenelle vs Samaritaine
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Trenelle
3:1
May 21, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Trenelle
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trenelle 30 / 100
Samaritaine 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trenelle Samaritaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trenelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trenelle's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Samaritaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Trenelle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trenelle VS Samaritaine
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trenelle

(Home)
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Robert
4 : 1
Trenelle
08 May
Trenelle
0 : 0
Golden Lion
25 Apr
Emulation
0 : 1
Trenelle
Page 1 of 7

Samaritaine

(Away)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3
Samaritaine
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)