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Trento vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Briamasco, Trento
Trento Logo

Trento

3 - 3
FT
Renate Logo

Renate

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Chinetti F.
25'
Sub
Riviera C. In: Ruiz Giraldo P.
Out: Riviera C.
43'
Ruiz Giraldo P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Trento and Renate finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Trento
35%
Draws
19%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Trento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Trento taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Trento Clean Sheet 68%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Renate
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.48
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Renate
3:3
Dec 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Trento
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Renate
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Trento
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Renate
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinetti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benedetti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 86 / 100
Renate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Trento stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Trento's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Renate has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Renate
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
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Renate

(Away)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)