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Treowen vs Cardiff Draconians

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Feb 27, 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treowen host Cardiff Draconians in the Cymru South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Treowen at 1.97 goals for, 1.87 against; Cardiff Draconians at 1.76 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Treowen slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Treowen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Treowen
20%
Draws
40%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Treowen come out ahead of Cardiff Draconians on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Treowen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Treowen Clean Sheet 12%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treowen Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Cardiff Draconians
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Treowen
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treowen 74 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treowen Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treowen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treowen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cardiff Draconians let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Treowen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Treowen VS Cardiff Draconians
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Treowen

(Home)
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
Page 1 of 7

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4
Pontypridd United
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Aberystwyth 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
3 Pontypridd United 7 5 1 1 18:12 16
4 Carmarthen Town 8 4 2 2 19:17 14
5 Caerau Ely 8 4 1 3 19:18 13
6 Treowen 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
7 Baglan Dragons 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Afan Lido 9 3 2 4 13:15 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 8 2 4 2 15:14 10
10 Ynyshir Albions 7 2 4 1 7:6 10
11 Caerphilly 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
12 Newport City 6 2 1 3 9:5 7
13 Cardiff Draconians 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
14 Pontardawe 7 2 0 5 11:14 6
15 Llantwit Major 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
16 Llanelli 9 0 2 7 6:25 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)