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Treowen vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Treowen host Trethomas Bluebirds in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Treowen at 1.93 goals for, 1.93 against; Trethomas Bluebirds at 1.57 for, 2.14 against. Past meetings favor Treowen slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 26, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.94, favoring Treowen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Treowen
30%
Draws
37%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treowen lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
  • Trethomas Bluebirds are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treowen Trethomas Bluebirds
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Cymru South
Treowen vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Treowen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treowen 22 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treowen Trethomas Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treowen scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Trethomas Bluebirds has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Treowen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Treowen VS Trethomas Bluebirds
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Treowen

(Home)
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Aberystwyth 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
3 Pontypridd United 7 5 1 1 18:12 16
4 Carmarthen Town 8 4 2 2 19:17 14
5 Caerau Ely 8 4 1 3 19:18 13
6 Treowen 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
7 Baglan Dragons 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Afan Lido 9 3 2 4 13:15 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 8 2 4 2 15:14 10
10 Ynyshir Albions 7 2 4 1 7:6 10
11 Caerphilly 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
12 Newport City 6 2 1 3 9:5 7
13 Cardiff Draconians 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
14 Pontardawe 7 2 0 5 11:14 6
15 Llantwit Major 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
16 Llanelli 9 0 2 7 6:25 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)